Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe (“The Florida Project”), Woody Harrelson (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), Richard Jenkins (“The Shape of Water”), Christopher Plummer (“All the Money in the World”), and Sam Rockwell (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”)
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Photo Credit: Imbd.com |
Will Win: Sam Rockwell (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”) - Early in the awards season, Dafoe seemed like the contender to beat, seeing as he dominated this category amongst many critics’ groups for his role as a kind-hearted motel manager. However, after the Golden Globes, that all began to change. Rockwell pulled off a surprising win in this category for his role as a prejudicial cop in the titular small town. Then, he went on to win at the Critics’ Choice Awards, Screen Actors Guild Awards, and BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts) Film Awards. While he’s been in some notable films over the years, it looks like his career will reach a new peak with a guaranteed win come Oscar night.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: Christopher Plummer (“All the Money in the World”) - The narrative leading up to Plummer’s role in director Ridley Scott’s crime-thriller became one of the most-memorable Hollywood stories of 2017. After sexual misconduct allegations came out against Kevin Spacey, who was originally cast in the role of oil tycoon J. Paul Getty and had already filmed his scenes, he was cut out of the movie, the role had to be recast, and the character’s scenes reshot. Plummer (who was said to be Scott’s first choice for the part, but studio executives wanted a bigger name with Spacey), was cast, and he proceeded to film his scenes in 10 days. The last-minute change paid off, as Plummer received nominations from the Golden Globes, BAFTAs, and now, the Academy. With all of the behind-the-scenes drama, this movie could have easily been a disaster, but it all came together, and Plummer delivers a ferocious performance as the miserly and spiteful billionaire. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have a chance at winning, but given that he received a nomination this big when all of the odds were against this movie before its release, that’s more than enough to compensate.
Best Supporting Actress: Mary J. Blige (“Mudbound”), Allison Janney (“I, Tonya”), Leslie Manville (“Phantom Thread”), Laurie Metcalf (“Lady Bird”), and Octavia Spencer (“The Shape of Water”)
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Will Win: Allison Janney (“I, Tonya”) - While Janney had a few wins with the critics’ groups going into awards season, she wasn’t quite the frontrunner for this category. However, that all changed after she picked up a win at the Golden Globes for her role as the abusive mother of figure skater Tonya Harding. Janney then received wins as the Critics’ Choice Awards, SAG Awards, and BAFTAs. After her steamrolling success on the awards circuit, the Oscar’s hers.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: Laurie Metcalf (“Lady Bird”) - When the awards season began, Metcalf had similar luck to that of Willem Dafoe, as she became the favorite to win in her category after earning many wins from critics’ groups for her emotional performance as the mother of a teenage girl who’s on the brink of adulthood. But, now that Janney has won the big four awards leading up to the Oscars, Metcalf’s chances at a triumph are pretty much gone. Although I enjoyed Janney’s performance, Metcalf’s work stuck with me more because of how well she conveys her character’s unconditional love for her family and her struggle as she tries her best to keep them afloat during tough times. It’s a subdued, yet heartrending performance that I would love to see win, even if it’s unlikely at this point.
Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet (“Call Me by Your Name”), Daniel Day-Lewis (“Phantom Thread”), Daniel Kaluuya (“Get Out”), Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”), and Denzel Washington (“Roman J. Israel, Esq.”)
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Will Win: Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”) - Ever since this film premiered at the Telluride Film Festival back in September, Oldman became the frontrunner in this category for his battle-ready performance as British Prime Minister Winston Churchill, and he remained as such during the season. Portraying a historical figure is usually the type of performance that wins over the Academy, but that’s not to say that I didn’t enjoy his performance, as you have to give him credit for diving as far as he does into the role. Actually, if you went into the movie without seeing any advertisements for it, you probably wouldn’t have recognized that it was Oldman behind all of the makeup. He had a bit of luck with the critics’ groups, but he fared even better with the major awards shows, proving victorious at the Golden Globes, Critics’ Choice Awards, SAG Awards, and BAFTAs. After all of this, it’s impossible to think that the winner here will be anyone else.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: Timothée Chalamet (“Call Me by Your Name”) - Although I liked Oldman’s performance, Chalamet’s role as a young man who falls in love with his father’s research assistant is the one that was the most-affecting for me. It’s a more-subtle performance, one where a lot of it comes down to Chalamet’s facial expressions, which he strongly exhibits in the film’s last few minutes where the camera focuses just on him as a range of emotions displays across his face. It’s a role that captures what it’s like to be in a relationship that means the world to you, one where you would do anything to keep it alive, and Chalamet brings that heartache and need for connection whenever he’s on screen. He received a few wins from critics’ groups, but sadly, it doesn’t look like he will be winning an Oscar this year. However, given the fact that he’s the third-youngest Best Actor nominee of all time proves that his career is going to be nothing short of illustrious, and he’s sure to receive many more nominations in the future.
Best Actress: Sally Hawkins (“The Shape of Water”), Frances McDormand (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), Margot Robbie (“I, Tonya”), Saoirse Ronan (“Lady Bird”), and Meryl Streep (“The Post”)
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Will Win: Frances McDormand (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”) - This year, Best Actress was looking to be the most-competitive of the four acting races, as there were many stellar performances that were worthy of a nomination. Although there are only five nominees, there are at least five others who could have gotten in as well. However, the five nominees have been chosen, and McDormand is the frontrunner and the likely winner. Her role as a mother searching for her daughter’s killer has received a Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice Award, SAG Award, and BAFTA, so her path to a second Oscar is pretty much secured.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: Margot Robbie (“I, Tonya”) - “I, Tonya” was one of the my favorite films of 2017, in large part due to Robbie’s performance as Tonya Harding, as she’s able to make a sympathetic character out of the controversial figure skater. She accomplishes this by perfecting Harding’s frustration at not getting a fair shot in the skating world and being judged unfairly for her troubled upbringing, and this helps us feel emotionally invested in her character and makes us understand why she becomes involved in the Nancy Kerrigan scandal. As superb as Robbie is, she hasn’t had much luck from the critics’ groups or the big awards shows, which is a shame because her work in this film resulted in some of the most-dynamic acting in film last year. If you haven’t had a chance to see Robbie’s commanding performance, change that as soon as possible.
Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson (“Phantom Thread”), Guillermo del Toro (“The Shape of Water”), Greta Gerwig (“Lady Bird”), Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”), and Jordan Peele (“Get Out”)
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Will Win: Guillermo del Toro (“The Shape of Water”) - Although its Best Picture chances might be somewhat up in the air, one major Oscar that “The Shape of Water” is sure to win is this, seeing as del Toro has already won Best Director from several critics’ groups, at the Golden Globes, Critics’ Choice Awards, and the BAFTAs, as well as the Directors Guild of America Award for Outstanding Directing-Feature Film. His Cold War-era fairytale also received 13 nominations, which is the most of any movie at the Oscars this year. Given how multiple aspects of this film have been praised, the Academy will want to honor the director who brought it all together.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”) - I would love for either del Toro or Nolan to win, so this was a bit of a tough category for me in which to choose my preference. However, I’ll have to go with Nolan for his masterful and visceral WWII film, which follows the evacuation of Allied soldiers on the beaches of Dunkirk and is told from three perspectives: land, sea, and air. By using an expert blend of music, cinematography, and editing, Nolan delivered one of the most-gripping moviegoing experiences of 2017 and created another film whose fullest impact can only be appreciated on a big screen.
Best Picture: “Call Me by Your Name,” “Darkest Hour,” “Dunkirk,” “Get Out,” “Lady Bird,” “Phantom Thread,” “The Post,” “The Shape of Water,” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Will Win: “The Shape of Water” - Of the six biggest categories, this is the one where there’s a bit of unpredictability, as the winner could either be Guillermo del Toro’s “The Shape of Water,” which won Best Picture at the Critics’ Choice Awards and the Producers Guild of America award for Best Theatrical Motion Picture, or Martin McDonagh’s “Three Billboards,” which won Best Picture at the BAFTAs and Best Motion Picture-Drama at the Golden Globes. Considering this, the scale could tip in favor of “The Shape of Water,” seeing as it’s the most-nominated film at the Oscars; it won at the PGA, which is a good indicator of what will win Best Picture, as it matched up eight times in the past 10 years; and the lack of a Best Director nomination for “Three Billboards.” However, there’s always the possibility that the Academy will want to honor both films by awarding “The Shape of Water” with Best Director and “Three Billboards” with Best Picture. Although I won’t be surprised if “Three Billboards” pulls off a win, I can still see “The Shape of Water” being the recipient of the night’s top prize.
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Photo Credit: Imdb.com |
Should Win: “Call Me by Your Name” - Although the strongest chance that Luca Guadagnino’s film has at Oscar gold is a win for Best Adapted Screenplay, I would love to see it win Best Picture. There were many movies this year that I loved, but “Call Me by Your Name” was the only one where, as soon as it was over, I wanted to run back in the theater and watch it again. As my favorite movie of 2017, I’ve seen it twice, and I would have seen it 10 more times in theaters if I had the opportunity. Seeing as the film received the second-lowest amount of nominations out of the nine Best Picture nominees (tying with “Get Out” at four), the odds of this film pulling an upset are slim to none. A Best Picture win for this film would be terrific, but I’m glad that it at least got this far, as it deserves to be ranked among the best of 2017. It’s a romantic, heartbreaking, and unforgettable coming-of-age journey that must be experienced.
Be sure to catch the 90th Academy Awards this Sunday, March 4, on ABC at 8:00 p.m.!